{"id":2442,"date":"2026-09-26T02:37:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-26T02:37:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/?p=2442"},"modified":"2026-09-26T02:37:41","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T02:37:41","slug":"lost-revenue-due-to-differences-in-attrition-rates-for-part-time-and-new-students-at-private-colleges","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/?p=2442","title":{"rendered":"Lost Revenue Due to Differences in Attrition Rates for Part-Time and New Students at Private Colleges"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n<p>As private colleges move toward enrolling more part-time students, they may discover that their retention rate is much lower than full-time students. Table 1 shows the difference in attrition rates for full and part-time students for the first spring and the second fall of enrollment. By the first spring, the report indicates that more than 25% of part-time students have left the college and by the second fall 50% of those students are no longer enrolled. On the other hand, the attrition rate for full-time students is much lower. Table 1 and Table 2 set out the respective attrition rates and lost tuition revenue for full and part-students.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Table 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>First Spring and Second Fall Attrition Rates for Full and Part-Time Students <\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>First Spring Attrition<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Second Fall Attrition<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Full-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Part-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Full-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Part-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2015<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>24.8%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>18.8%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>45.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2016<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.4%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>24.9%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>19.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>46.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2017<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>25.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>19.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>46.5%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2018<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>26.8%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>19.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>49.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>28.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>20.8%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>50.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2020<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>9.3%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>27.4%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>21.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>53.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2021<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>8.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>27.9%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>20.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>52.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2022<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>8.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>29.4%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>20.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>53.1%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>31.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>19.9%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>54.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.6%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>27.7%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>20.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>52.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Average<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>7.8%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>27.4%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>19.9%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>50.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>Table 2 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Comparison of Part-Time Lost Students and Tuition Revenue Given Attrition Their Respective Attrition Rates <\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Starting Fall Enrolled<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Retention Rate<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>End of First Semester<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Retention Rate<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Net Enrollment<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Lost Students<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>If Net Tuition is $12,000<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Lost Revenue First Year <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Full-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>100<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>92%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>92<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>80%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>74<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>26 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>$12,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>$313,774 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Part-Time<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>100<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>73%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>73<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>50%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>64 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>$12,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>$766,142 <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Table 2 is especially instructive of the difficult work that faces private colleges. As they increase part-time students, they could lose more than twice the tuition revenue compared to full-time students. The demographic cliff is enough of a problem for private colleges without contending with lost tuition revenue from part-time enrollment.<\/p>\n<p>The volatility of part-time student enrollments could also distort class scheduling and misallocate other academic resources. Moreover, the marketing cost of enrolling part-time students will be substantially higher if the college expects to match the net revenue of full-time students.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2445\" src=\"http:\/\/knowacademia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/LostRev.png\" alt=\"Ratio of Part-Time to Full-Time Attrition Rates\" width=\"566\" height=\"349\" srcset=\"http:\/\/knowacademia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/LostRev.png 566w, http:\/\/knowacademia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/LostRev-480x296.png 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 566px, 100vw\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nscresearchcenter.org\/persistence-retention\/\">Persistence and Retention Report<\/a><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nscresearchcenter.org\/persistence-retention\/\">Persistence and Retention Report<\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>National Student Clearinghouse: Persistence and Retention<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>Retention if they remain at their institution of initial enrollment<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong>U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Higher Education General Information Survey (HEGIS), \u201cFall Enrollment in Colleges and Universities\u201d surveys, selected years 1970 through 1985; Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), \u201cFall Enrollment Survey\u201d table 303.70<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nscresearchcenter.org\/persistence-retention\/\">Persistence and Retention Report<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>National Clearing House Research Center June 25, 2026<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Appendix<\/strong><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\" rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>National Center for Education Statistics<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\" rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>National Clearing House Research Center<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\" rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Differences Between the Two<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Full-time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Part-time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Full-Time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Part-Time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Full-Time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Part-Time<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2015<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,092,346<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,454,866<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,547,212<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>409,574<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16,653<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>426,227<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,682,772<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,438,213<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,120,985<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2016<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,120,721<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,661,510<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,782,231<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>413,630<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16,825<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>430,455<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,707,091<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,644,685<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,351,776<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2017<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,144,539<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,675,726<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,820,265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>430,560<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16,585<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>447,145<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,713,979<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,659,141<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,373,120<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2018<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,155,104<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,708,304<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,863,408<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>441,452<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>17,729<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>459,181<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,713,652<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,690,575<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,404,227<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,165,320<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,801,508<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,966,828<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>432,337<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>17,789<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>450,126<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,732,983<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,783,719<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,516,702<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2020<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,034,478<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,918,401<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,952,879<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>404,308<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>22,967<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>427,275<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,630,170<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,895,434<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,525,604<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2021<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,854,922<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,908,810<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,763,732<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>431,770<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20,011<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>451,781<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,423,152<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,888,799<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,311,951<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2022<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,808,684<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,932,814<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,741,498<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>429,031<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>22,664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>451,695<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,379,653<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2,910,150<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,289,803<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,036,349<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,072,885<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11,109,234<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>431,827<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24,511<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>456,338<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,604,522<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,048,374<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10,652,896<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8,337,103<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,351,875<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11,688,978<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>427,846<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21,347<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>449,193<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7,909,257<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3,330,528<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11,239,785<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As private colleges move toward enrolling more part-time students, they may discover that their retention rate is much lower than full-time students. Table 1 shows the difference in attrition rates for full and part-time students for the first spring and the second fall of enrollment. By the first spring, the report indicates that more than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"coauthors":[24],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2442"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2442"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2442\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2446,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2442\/revisions\/2446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2442"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/knowacademia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcoauthors&post=2442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}