Be Prepared for the
Paradigm Shift in Higher Education

The Wall Street Journal, Chronicle of Higher Education, and the New York Times are trumpeting what they see as major changes in demographics, finances, technology, and regulations for higher education. The evidence strongly suggests that these four factors are already having a significant impact on the financial stability and academic structure of colleges and universities, and upon the valuation of higher education by students and employers.

What can presidents and boards of trustees do to guide their institutions through these traumatic events?

I offer the following ten suggestions to respond to these challenges:

One: Refine the institutional financial forecast model so that it can test ”what if changes” in: market demographics, peer net pricing competition, investments in IT, capital projects, debt service, government regulations limiting increases in tuition, loss in endowment principal, and inflation. Then test current conditions for five years given several “what if” scenarios.

Two: Use a Responsibility Centered Model to estimate financial performance by academic program and other revenue sources.

Three: Estimate economic equilibrium defined as the funds needed to provide sufficient resources for the mission of the institution.

Four: Describe the characteristics of the target student market, identifying demographic trends in age, income, and programs sought.

Five: Prepare a ten-year trend report on changes in financial condition, the financial performance of academic programs and other revenue sources, enrollment, attrition rates, graduation rates, and rates of growth for posted and net tuition.

Six: Conduct a SWOT Analysis (internal strengths and weaknesses vs external opportunities and threats) for the institution and its academic programs.

Seven: Prepare a strategic analysis that includes a description of the college’s mission, long-term strategic goals, operational plans, and key performance indicators. Summarize key findings from: financial forecasts, responsibility center modeling, equilibrium modeling, market characteristics, trend analysis, and the SWOT analysis.

Eight: After identifying strategic options, present them to the Board of Trustees and important stakeholders to begin developing them.

Nine: Select highest priority strategic options and prepare operational plans. Conduct a final set of financial forecast tests to assess the feasibility and outcomes of each option. Identify obstacles to successful introduction of the strategic options.

Ten: Monitor operational performance of each strategic option and refine operational plans when necessary to achieve strategic goals.

We believe that if colleges and universities follow these steps that they can substantially improve their chance of surviving the tumultuous economic and historical changes taking place in higher education.

Originally Published by StevensStrategy.com in 2014

Is Your Institution Structurally Inefficient?

By Michael K Townsley & Robert DeColfmacker

Executive Summary

Efficiency in higher education is an amusing topic that is best left to economists. The reality is that all constituents of a college or university know that the institution in inherently inefficient due to poorly designed operational policies, procedures, decision rubrics, resource allocations, and production of its main product – the education of students. Boards, administrators, and even regulators have either ignored operational inefficiencies or found them too intractable to change. Nevertheless, colleges and universities do graduate students and produce credible research, despite their awkward approach to delivering on their mission. However, the days of traipsing down the ivy-bedecked walls of alma mater are swiftly coming to an end. Efficiency will necessarily rise to a level of action due to complex combination of conditions like the Covid pandemic, inflation, shrinking new student markets, and students rejecting colleges charging high tuition prices to earn a degree with a low return on income. This blog will deal with the concept and framing of efficiency, managing efficiency in colleges and universities, bottlenecked operating chains, efficiency notes for presidents, and a brief comment on the relationship between financial equilibrium and efficiency.

Introduction to Efficiency

Nearly every college and university in the United States has the same operational structure and decision-governance process regardless of size, mission, or method of instructional delivery. The structure of higher education in this country has deep historical roots going back to Oxford and Cambridge in England with the design carried into this country with the founding of the early colleges such as Harvard. However, In America, the people of the state authorized the creation and to operation of colleges and universities through charters that provided ultimate responsibility and authority to a disinterested board. There has always been an assumption in the American system that the faculty’s domain is the curriculum and certification of successful completion of study. In the nineteenth century, presidents were much stronger than today. At that time, they were members of the faculty, with a primus inter-pares role. That system began to change during the twentieth century as presidents were less likely to be of and from the faculty and a dual organization system developed with a professional class led by the president and a faculty class with a counterbalancing role described most cogently by the AAUP. This dual organization structure has a significant flaw; it is resistant to change. Therefore, by extension, it is very expensive to operate because programs become embedded in the decision-governance process that often acted as a veto on change. This flaw became most evident when the nature of colleges changed from a rite of passage for only about 20% of the population (typically the traditional socially privileged and academically prepared student) to a pathway for social mobility and professional success for an additional 40% of less academically prepared and socially privileged post World War II students. This was accentuated especially as government sponsored financial aid programs expanded significantly, creating an environment of competition between colleges for an abundant market of students and the tuition they provide to support operations. The dual organization model worked reasonably well until that market began to decline and colleges had to act more strategically to adapt and compete. This created pressure to move from a dual organization governance system to a shared governance system that recognized more clearly the board’s role and authority. But that transition is not complete and many colleges are still ill equipped for change.

Due to the accelerating decline in enrollments that is combined with pressure to lower prices by way of tuition discounts and students insisting on degrees that lead to jobs in which their pay covers their debt payments and the cost of living, most private colleges and some private universities must now confront the impact of these conditions on the cost of operations. Solutions to these confounding problems of declining revenue (plus shrinking cash flows from tuition) and the cost of operations is the principal subject of this discourse.

Framing Efficiency

Efficiency or Productive Efficiency is the minimum cost for a particular level of output produced by a firm. Determining the relationship between cost input and output requires precise data. In higher education, precise data detailing costs and output is problematical on several levels. First, colleges do not clearly define the costs that drive a particular output. Moreover, they are often not clear about what the outputs are. Outputs can be classified as: credits, graduates, students enrolled in a program, full-time-equivalents, specific degrees, or credentials. As is evident from this imprecise list, several of the outputs may in fact be inputs; e.g., credits, students enrolled in a program, or full-time-equivalents. The confusion between inputs and outputs in higher education makes the problem of estimating productive efficiency very costly, difficult, and time-consuming. Nevertheless, given the declining demand for education and aggressive competition for new students, colleges and universities cannot ignore the problem of minimizing costs. While this discussion does not offer a mathematical solution to estimating minimal costs, we will suggest what can be done to improve the management of costs.

Managing Efficiency in Colleges and Universities

  • Governance: Most colleges and universities operate within a dual governance structure in which the faculty has advisory authority over the academic program, the administration has authority over the rest of the college, and the Board of Trustees has authority over both. Conflict usually occurs at the edge between administrative authority and academic authority. There are two problems with dual governance that lead to cost inefficiencies. First, ultimate responsibility for survival of the institution is often not defined. Second, policies are often written in an ambiguous fashion regarding assignment of responsibility and expected outcomes. The literature suggests that ambiguous policies result from attempts to minimize conflicts of the dual governance divide. Eliminating existing and future policy ambiguities requires that the Board of Trustees fully understand which level is granted ultimate responsibility by law for the survival and integrity of the institution. If the Board does not understand this responsibility, they need training in their legal responsibilities, and they need legal counsel to review all policies and recommend changes to eliminate diminution of Board authority.
  • Charter and Mission: The charter is the heart of the corporate entity and defines what it is allowed to do. The mission delineates what an institution can or cannot do. If the institution goes beyond its mission, it departs from its authority as granted by its charter. Therefore, significant changes in the activities of the college must be brought into conformity to its mission and charter or else both need to be amended.
  • Academic Efficiency: This concept boils down to who controls the productive structure of the college; i.e., who has the authority to reorient academic operations in order to better serve students versus serving the status quo. Academic efficiency depends on 1) a leader skilled in revising the academic program in the face of intractable opposition and 2) an able lawyer in higher education labor law who briefs legal constraints for academic and personnel changes.
  • Operational Efficiency: This concept depends on the proficiency of the president to a) identify if the college is responding to the demands of the student and job markets, b) restructure academic programs to attract students and prepare them for the job market, and c) allocate personnel and assets to best serve students at the lowest cost per student ratio. In addition, the president, in consort with the faculty, must have academic technical skills to revise or design the following: new curriculum; class schedules; information technology to deliver and administer academic operations; and the legal constraints on changes in programs. Moreover, the president must see how to efficiently utilize the physical space.
  • Financial Efficiency is subject to these standards:
    • Cash is essential for survival.
    • Short-term assets need to be readily convertible to cash.
    • For most private colleges, cash flows from enrollment and gift/donations.
    • Operations must generate strong and positive cash flows.
    • Monitor factors that deplete cash: rising tuition discounts; excess number of administrators and staff (too many administrators and staff doing the job that one person could); small enrollments in majors; small classes; capital and operational costs of buildings with low usage rates; and ineffective marketing strategies.
    • Use dashboards and critical period performance reports to identify financial imbalances that cover: enrollment, class size, tuition discount, net tuition revenue, donations, cash balances, staff compensation, variable expenses, and unbudgeted expenditures
    • Set-up and track these efficiency ratios:
      • Net-tuition per student
      • Receivable and bad debt ratios
      • Net Donation/Advancement Officer
      • Assets Efficiency Ratio – measure square feet being used against the space available in a twenty-four-hour time span.
  • Market Efficiency: requires a) data by: student markets, yield rates, campaign target effectiveness, and enrollment by programs; b) best practices in reaching and drawing students from market segments; and c) continuous monitoring of marketing performance.

Bottlenecked Operating Chains

A bottleneck chain is a set of offices that are connected in carrying out a common set of processes. If these chains are not carefully designed, the result can be a process stream that becomes bottlenecked. A process stream is often bottlenecked at the interchange between offices. These bottlenecks can occur when process streams are not designed to carry from one office to another or when administrators do not work together in harmony.

Only the president has the authority and the responsibility to sort out the process stream and to eliminate inter-office conflict. In order to resolve bottlenecks, a president will have to get down into the nitty-gritty of policies and processes. That is, the president will be involved in analysis of a chain and will lead the redesign of chain policies and processes. Listed below are several critical chains typically found in an institution of higher education.

  • Admissions Chain: Admissions – Registrar – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) Financial Office – Bookstore – IT
  • Continuing Student Chain: Registrar – IT – Academic Office (class schedule) – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) – Bookstore – Student Affairs (residence/dining plans)
  • Class Scheduling Chain: Academic Office –- IT – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) – Registrar – Bookstore – Security
  • Billing Office: Registrar – IT– Billing Office – Academic – Student Affairs (financial problems) –
  • Payables Office: Academic Affairs– President’s Office – Chief Administrative Offices – Student Affairs – Faculty – Vendors
  • Grades and Transcript Chain: Registrar – Faculty – Academic Office -Registrar – IT – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services)
  • Student Affairs: Academic Scheduling Office, Athletic Office, Residence Halls – Food Services – Student Organizations
  • Graduation Chain: Registrar – Academic Affairs – Student Affairs – Security
  • Budgeting Bottleneck Chain: Finance Office – Budget Office – President’s Office – Academic Offices – Building and Grounds – Security – Board

Efficiency Notes for the President

The efficiency notes provide common leadership standards for a president as they guide their institutions toward greater efficiency. These are also final notes for other chief administrative officers.

  • Communications supporting major decisions must be precise and comprehensive, especially when they involve a delegation of authority.
  • Presidents must work effectively with the board and all constituencies of the college.
  • Before the president and board initiate change, they should prepare for conflict, in particular with the faculty when it involves changes in academic programs, faculty policies, and assignments.
  • Presidents need to understand the dynamics of the college and its basic operational processes. For example:
    • Basic management doctrine – mission, responsibility, and outcome defined action.
    • Financial resource allocations to departments, capital expenses, and personnel.
    • Operational procedures, staff training and the expectation that administrators, staff and faculty will use administrative and academic software.
    • Effective/efficient allocation of personnel are essential to survival.
    • Paying market rates for skilled positions in academics, finance, and human resources.
    • Recognizing that today’s shrunken student pools require the best marketing enrollment managers.
    • How pricing (including tuition discounts) shape prospective student decisions in consort with their expectations of the outcome from their degrees.
    • Need access to the best higher education legal services because change is usually constrained by laws (especially labor) and regulations (state and federal).
  • Small college presidents may have to act like the head of a small business by doing the work of: writing policy and procedural manuals, curriculum design, academic scheduling, contracts, financial reports, and faculty and staff evaluation. The president needs to know the budgets of each department, financial reports and the dynamics of cash flows.
  • Senior staff must understand the dynamics and processes of their area of responsibilities and this area to other domains and to the college as a whole.

Summary

Efficiency in higher education may be construed as being subject to Cyert’s model of financial equilibrium.[1] His model posits that financial equilibrium occurs when there are sufficient resources to sustain an institution’s mission for current and future students.[2] It could be said that a college’s financial equilibrium would be dependent on its efficiency in using its financial resources to sustain its mission. Inefficient use of resources would either deplete financial reserves or fail to convert incoming financial resources into productive units to accomplish the mission of the intuition. As a result, students would be ill-served by an inefficient college.

The culture of the college that has presently emerged is what has shaped the current state of efficiency in most institutions. It will be the responsibility of the board, administration, faculty and accreditors to increase the efficiency of the college by working together to reform policies, processes, and decision-making. Changes in the operational structure of the college will mainly take place through its governance system, which is morphing from the traditional dual governance model into a shared-governance model. Sound board and presidential leadership can make certain positive steps to good management and to greater operational efficiency.

ENDNOTE

  1. Townsley, Michael (2014) Financial Strategy for Higher Education: A Field Guide for Presidents, CFOs, and Boards of Trustees; Lulu Press; Indianapolis, Indiana; p. 15.

  2. Townsley, Michael (2014) Financial Strategy for Higher Education: A Field Guide for Presidents, CFOs, and Boards of Trustees; Lulu Press; Indianapolis, Indiana; p. 15.

Special Series: Technology >> Part 1: Strategy/Mission/Vision From 2005

Strategy, Mission and Vision

  • Without task force input …the president will be the author of an uncoordinated technical strategy that will fall short of institutional goals.
  • If colleges and universities are havens of reflection and restraint where change is glacial and all systems exist to serve the institution, high technology is a revolutionary temptation—a promise of control to students, faculty, and presidents—that offers the same regard for academic tradition that the iconoclast offers the town church.
  • Most presidents recognize the obsolescence of their institutions mission statements and strategic plans amid the self-serving, high-speed, high-tech movement. Students at colleges large and small won’t tolerate lengthy queues, ad nauseum policies and procedures, or educational services that treat them as arms-length objects rather than key-punching participants in their educations. They, along with faculty and administrators, want more control over decisions that affect their lives—a more transparent learning and working environment that is ever more accessible and responsive to their input.
  • Savvy presidents recognize the potential of technology to enhance mission, improve educational services, and provide flexibility to decision chains. Harnessing the high-tech pace and coordinating technology with mission and strategy require more than just a huge information technology (IT) investment. A fiscally responsible and forward-thinking leadership will reorganize operations, reevaluate market position, and press their institutions to utilize technology wisely. According to George Keller, speaking in Academic Strategy (John Hopkins Press, Baltimore, 1983), “Presidents who do not look ahead, who do not plan, become prisoners of external forces and surprises most often unpleasant.”
  • The first part of our series is a frank discussion about why presidential leadership is key to the use of technology in colleges and universities.

Six Conditions to High Technology Management

Condition I: Technology is a given. Whether to invest is no longer the issue.

  • It is the rare institution that has not made a substantial IT investment. The chart [BELOW] displays the impact investments in technology have had on higher education between 1988 and 1996. Note that equipment encompasses all purchases treated as capital (depreciated), and so includes technological equipment as well as desks and furniture. (Source: Table 356: Additions to physical plan value of degree-granting institutions, by type of addition and control of institution (millions of dollars); Digest of Education Statistics, National Center for Education Statistics, 2002).
  • Colleges must develop goal-oriented IT budgets that spell out how the resources allocated to IT will achieve the goals and mission of the college. The IT budget is in addition to the annual budget, and it should show how funds are to be sent for internet management, communications, services to students, maintenance and repair of systems, and staff support for IT.
  • The fact that the gap between equipment and building additions grew for the period (except around 1993 when the stock market declined) suggests a departure from the expected consistent growth relationship between equipment and building additions, and an increase in higher education’s investment in technological equipment.

http://download.101com.com/pub/cam/Images/0505_pres_chart_rs.gif

Condition II: Effectiveness and efficiency criteria must be set and met.

  • Efficiency can be defined as the per-unit (e.g., student or some other quantifiable measure) operational costs (e.g., staff, maintenance, and depreciation) associated with a technology service. Effectiveness refers to the fit between the technology service and strategic goals. IT systems cannot be deemed effective and efficient merely because the central processing unit has been plugged in. Recall the sweeping replacement of typewriters with word processors in the 1980s; managers assumed a unit-per-unit swap—i.e., one CPU for each typewriter—and failed to anticipate the additional and ongoing cost of software, printers, cables, monitors, surge protectors, and user training until the bills were on their desks and the typewriters already in the dumpsters.
  • Once the initial and ongoing monetary investment in technology is figured, leaders must ensure the IT service will support academic processes, administrative processes, and communications,with each division representing a complex piece of a larger strategic puzzle. Is the technology service reducing cost per student ratios, and is it reliably delivering results that meet the strategic goals of the college?

Condition III: Technology must serve the ultimate user: the institution.

  • Spreading technology around a campus will not automatically yield operational efficiency or strategic value. Upon its installation, a computer will not serve any purpose beyond that of its immediate user. Without a strategy guiding their purchase, implementation, and use, computers can become toys, or vehicles for empire building or day trading, or they may simply collect dust for lack of defined uses and savvy users.
  • An article in Business Officer, the official publication of the National Association of College and University Business Officials (www.nacubo.org), asserts that senior leaders must be involved with the president in developing IT strategies because of their capacity to allocate resources, determine policy, and approve procedures. Without task force input – without discussion and agreement on IT purchases, implementation dates, upgrade forecasts, and monitoring strategies – the president will be the author of an uncoordinated technical strategy that will fall short of institutional goals.

Condition IV: Technology should integrate not duplicate.

  • High-tech gadgets and streamlined procedures are in demand by students who require immediate results and fingertip control. Leaders must support and guide IT departments in the complex task of blending various stitches of information into a seamless, instantaneous bond between student and schedule. IT departments must keep pace with student expectations by implementing technologies that bypass, not replicate, existing service capabilities.
  • Online registration is one example of how streamlining can go wrong. If course descriptions, class assignments, degree audits, and registration processes are not integrated, students cannot quickly develop optimum schedules. The result: students leafing through course catalogs, calling counselors to confirm degree requirements, plugging selections into computers, paying at the financial aid office – they may as well be standing in registration lines.

Condition V: Technology should improve flexibility and reduce complexity.

  • You can think of a high-tech system as your best friend: It is there when you need it, ever responsive to your personal needs. Or you can see it as an insidious, unfathomable, unreliable distraction that fails when you need it most. Neither perspective is always true, but the latter in even small doses could ruin the credibility of a tech system and undermine large time and money investments.
  • Presidents, like students, parents, alumni, staff, faculty, and administrators, have experienced the frustration of making demands on a computer ill-equipped to respond quickly, accurately, or at all. Increasing the flexibility of systems and minimizing complexity for users make for tedious work for the IT professional: In building a user-friendly system, he/she must forsake basic design for a comprehensive system that anticipates various, sometimes contradictory, uses by variously able users. Regardless of the difficulty of the task, the president must set the invaluable expertise of the IT professional to designing a system for users that by its efficient nature at the user level will meet the needs and enhance the productivity of the institution.

Condition VI: Efficient and effective use of technology requires changes to structure, processes, policies, and delivery of services.

  • William F. Massy, president of the Jackson Hole Higher Education Group and professor emeritus at Stanford University, stated in a presentation to the National Commission on the Cost of Higher Education (www2.nea.org/he/cost.html) that colleges and universities would not see changes in the unit cost of IT until they make a “paradigm shift” in the way they deliver services. Massy challenged presidents to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of their IT systems and bolster the strength and productivity of their institutions in an increasingly technology-savvy market of for-profit and not-for-profit competitors.
  • The paradigm shift in operations, delivery systems, or both (a massive undertaking) offers presidents a chance to turn traditionally structured institutions into interactive learning webs wherein each student, faculty, and administration link yields greater knowledge within and outside the classroom. Outside the one-way teacher-student information flow, the institution swells with expertise gained when members of the college community inform one another. As espoused by Michael H. Zack (whose research and publications have focused on the use of information and knowledge to increase organization performance effectiveness) and others, the paradigm shift from traditional to knowledge-based enhances the “economy, innovation, and competitive positioning” of the institution and depends largely on efforts of a motivated president with support from the board, senior administrators, faculty, staff, students, and even alumni.

Conclusion

  • “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” — Arthur C. Clarke.
  • Information technology offers too many exciting and relatively inexpensive opportunities for higher education to ignore. Strategically designed IT helps students and faculty maximizes academic advisement, schedule classes, plan lessons, and view and present lectures in the classroom or online. Strategically designed IT streamlines delivery of services so that students can make efficient use of their time and money. Strategically designed IT simplifies operations so that administrators and faculty can cost-effectively monitor and provide for students as they pass from admissions to graduation to alumni status. As the wheels of progress turn ever faster, presidents have access to near magical technologies at reasonable costs. IT represents a major expense stream that can, if managed correctly, yield significant improvements in productivity. Competition for students will challenge colleges and universities to deliver faster, more flexible, and broader services to students without driving net revenues into the red. Sensitivity to changes in the way competitors, students, faculty, administrators, and the public use technology will help proactive presidents choose and fund (and IT professionals refine and test) systems that will promote the best interplay among technology, operations, services, revenue, expenses, and strategy—for the ease of users and the good of the institution.

Dr. Michael K. Townsley is the author of The Small College Guide to Financial Health (NACUBO, 2002) and is former President of Pennsylvania Institute of Technology. He is a consultant for Stevens Strategy (www.stevensstrategy.com), specializing in the development of strategy for colleges, universities and schools

Originally Published: President to President: Views of Technology in Higher Education (SunGard SCT, 2005)

Modest Proposal For An Alternative to the Classic Four-Year Degree

Most non-professional bachelor degrees are typically structured around a strong liberal art component and include a modest collection of courses aimed at developing a basis for skills that might be needed upon entering the job market. For instance, in a 120-hour degree program, nearly 50% of the credits are devoted to general education credits of which the majority are liberal arts courses. Then the balance of the courses is allocated between a common core of credits for the major and specific credits for a particular concentration. A typical example would look like the following:

  • General Education: 58 credits 47% of the total credits
  • Major Core: 42 credits 34% of the total credits
  • Concentration: 24 credits 19% of the total credits

Total Credits: 124 credits

According to College Board data for 2009-10, the average total tuition charge for these 124 credits is $109,172 with a net tuition charge after financial aid of $63,172. While the total amount seems to be modest, the balance is often paid from a family’s discretionary income and/or by taking loans. Since discretionary income has not kept pace with the rise in tuition rates, students are taking on ever larger amounts of debt to finance their degree.

The question that many parents, students, and government agencies are now asking is how colleges can reduce the cost of instruction while providing graduates with skills needed for a career that will repay their investment in higher education. If we focus solely on those students who seek a degree so that they can immediately go to work, the financial goal should be for a student to purchase a degree that incurs the smallest debt load and debt service on future income. This question is particularly acute for first generation students who are going to college on a shoe string budget.

The Alternative Model

Conditions:

  • The alternative must pass muster with employers’ expectation of skill levels.
  • Entanglements imposed by accreditation and state licensure must be avoided.
  • Faculty should not force the program into the mold of a standard bachelor degree.
  • Human capital principles merit that certification skills have more value to employers than a degree.

Model Principles:

  • The model must be designed around the skills required for a specific career.
  • Performance must be assessed in terms of performance objectives.
  • Faculty must have experience in the field rather than pure academic experience.
  • Curriculum should include a mix of courses, simulations, and internships.
  • Support services should include internship and student performance coordinators and counselors.
  • Program courses should be designed around intensive work on developing technical skills that fit the requirements of a particular career set.
  • English courses should focus on writing skills based on the requirements of a particular career set.
  • Math courses should focus on developing strong math skills based on the requirements of a particular career set. (If the career set depends on strong arithmetic and basic algebra skills this should be the focus of the math courses. If the career set does not employ advanced math such as calculus, these skills would not be included in the math courses.)
  • A program should be completed with the equivalent of thirty courses or ninety credits of courses that could be completed upon an accelerated schedule.
  • The program will accept transfer credits and work experience subject to these credits meeting specific course skill objectives of the program.
  • Businesses and nonprofit organizations will sign-off on accepting students for employment who have completed the program.
  • Financing of the model will be a combination of direct costs, direct support costs, subsidy by third parties (no traditional financial aid), and a limited assignment of institutional costs (general administration, registration, etc).
  • Assessment will be continuous at the level of student skills, program objectives, and post graduation (the latter would inform the program of the strengths, weaknesses, and changes in skill requirements).

Curriculum General Model

  • Goal: Provide a three-year program for career path development
  • Objectives:
    • Student mastery of skills as defined by the curriculum and developed by the faculty
    • 100% of graduates are hired within six months with median compensation for the position
    • Employers rate at least 90% of the graduates as above average in skills
  • Curriculum Structure
    • English and Writing Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic grammar skills
      • Paragraph and short paper writing skills
      • Memoranda and report writing
    • Math Skills: 4 courses at 3 credits per course; total 12 credits
      • Basic math skills
      • Tables and charts
      • Descriptive statistics and basic algebraic operations
      • Math skills for career path
    • Computer Skills: 4 courses at 3 credits per course; total 12 credits
      • Word – Microsoft
      • Excel and Access– Microsoft
      • PowerPoint – Microsoft
      • Purchasing office technology
    • Public and Group Facilitations: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Public speaking
      • PowerPoint Presentation
      • Group facilitation
    • Management Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic management and business law
      • Goals, objectives, plans, and evaluation
      • Markets and advertising
    • Financial Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic accounting
      • Understanding and preparing financial reports
      • Budgets and basic financial management
    • General Required Courses: 2 courses at 3 credits per course; total 6 credits
      • Microeconomics – survey
      • Human resources
    • Career Program Skills: 8 courses at 3 credits per course; total 24 credits
      • Career program skills training
      • Simulations
      • Short-term internships
    • Curriculum Summary Table

Course Group

Number of Courses

Credits Per Course

Total Course Credits

English and Writing Skills

Three

Three

9

Math Skills

Four

Three

12

Computer Skills

Four

Three

12

Public and Group Facilitation

Three

Three

9

Management skills

Three

Three

9

Financial Skills

Three

Three

9

General Required Courses

Two

Three

6

Career Program Skills

Eight

Three

24

Total Courses and Credits

Thirty

 

90 credits

  • Major Challenges:
    • State Licensure
    • Regional accreditation
    • Recognition of credit
    • Acceptance of graduates
    • Marketing
    • The type of document to be issued and its acceptance
    • Whether faculty without a masters degree could be used to teach the program
    • Percentage of courses that could be taught by adjuncts
  • Plan for Implementation
  • Advantages and Disadvantages:
    • Advantages –
      • Shorter period to completion
      • Lower costs
    • Disadvantages –
      • The question of whether employers would accept the graduates
      • An uncertainty as to whether students would be willing to take a risk with an unusual program
      • The investment needed to get the program started

Originally Published StevensStrategy.com in 2011

MEMO TO THE BOARD AND MANAGEMENT TEAM: “The Times They Are a Changing”

By Mike Townsley & Bob DeColfmacker,

Last year was the 50th anniversary of the Woodstock Music Festival and an appropriate time to reference Bob Dylan’s 1964 hit “They Times They Are a Changing.” The song was an anthem to the tumultuous 1960’s, and its simple lyrics and message became a rallying cry for millions of youth seeking change in American Society. And it was true then, as it is today, that at times there are significant waves of disruption to our social order, government policies and operating environments. Here we are again.

For those who govern and manage colleges and universities, once again, the times are changing. The operating environment for colleges today is turbulent with many schools facing enrollment challenges, financial difficulties and increased competition. Some question their ability to remain solvent or have already shuttered. At a minimum, these challenges require a sharper focus on governance and management, and in some cases, a complete overhaul of a governance structure. This is not a temporary blip. These are long-term, dynamic, structural changes that require us to manage and govern in different ways. Just think of the past decade; physical newspapers have almost disappeared, many shopping malls are emptying, retailers are experimenting with drones, video gaming is becoming an intercollegiate sport, and we all carry a portable device that can call, take pictures and search the world in a few keystrokes. We can’t run away from the future, but we can shape how we adapt.

And what’s different now? The “3D’s” are now colliding in a “perfect storm” impacting higher education: Demographics, Disruption and Dysfunction. Of the three, we have limited control over two and significant control over one. Taken together, these forces often overwhelm a weak management and governance structure, especially for institutions that are less nimble, lack a well-analyzed strategic plan with appropriate capital or suffer from weak leadership. If this sounds like your institution, it’s time to batten down the hatches, pay close attention to the radar and prepare to change course. What follows is a quick review of what to expect.

Demographics.

The Y-2K recession, the 9/11 recession, and the deep financial crisis of 2008 were heavy blows to endowments. Many colleges faltered, but they slowly recovered. Now, a demographic melting away of prospective student pools threatens to devastate the financial reserves of many private colleges, in particular, small, tuition-dependent colleges. The future does not bode well for many private colleges in this decade as they struggle to maintain financial viability in the face of a decade long collapse in the prospective student pool.

Some of the most recent work completed, published and presented by Dr. Nathan Grawe, Professor of Economics at Carleton College shows a troubling demographic future for many postsecondary institutions. Among some of trends:

  • Both the total fertility rate and total number of births in the United States declined significantly between 1985 and 2019. Specifically, there have been 5.7 million fewer births between 2008 and 2018 than if the birth rate in 2007 had held steady over that period.[1]
  • Between 2017 and 2032, the projected number of college-going students will decline significantly for 2-year institutions and regional 4-year institutions. While national 4-year institutions may fare better in the long run, they also face significant enrollment challenges between 2025 and 2030. While they also will face some ups and downs in demographics, elite 4-year institutions will see an increase in the projected number of college-going students between 2017 and 2032.[2]
  • Geography does matter. The Northeast will see significantly more challenges then other parts of the nation.[3]

Other factors will be at work. Students may choose not to enroll in college due to the high cost of a degree, their level of debt or expected decreases in future earnings for some majors. Enrollment specialists have known for years that schools also compete with the labor market, and in a strong economy like our current one, young people often forsake education for the gratification of immediate earnings.

With tuition being the primary financial driver for so many schools, boards and management teams today need a detailed and predictive geo-demographic analysis of the direction of their current student markets. It’s blasphemy on certain campuses, but a campus master plan today may include downsizing or “rightsizing” physical space, creating an “E-Sports Arena” or even locating in a shopping mall.

Disruption.

Just recently, Moody’s Bond Rating Service wrote a note suggesting that Southern New Hampshire University’s articulation agreement with Pennsylvania’s Community Colleges will be “Credit Negative” to Pennsylvania’s Four-Year Universities. Yes, that’s the same SNHU that spends millions and millions on nationwide marketing and advertising. Think about that. A formerly small, on the cusp university in small city New Hampshire now has the ability to impact the credit standing of an entire group of a state’s colleges. SNHU, boldly and successfully seizing on the disruptive force of technology and a market of adult learners left almost stranded over the years by traditional colleges and universities, has a nationwide, online student population of well over 100,000 students and is now opening a western operations center. This did not happen easily. It required significant capital, dynamic leadership and a board willing to understand and support these high-risk changes. (Disclosure: Bob DeColfmacker served on the SNHU Board of Trustees during this time and knows full well the great effort, capital and risk it took for SNHU to become a nation-wide university). Similar to financial services decades ago, state boundaries are now disappearing for college and universities. Terms like learning management systems, adaptive learning software, predictive analytics, call centers, speed to lead, and hybrid delivery are all part of the new world of college management and governance. Technology is now shaping the way we deliver postsecondary education to an increasingly broader audience.

And this won’t be limited to long-distance, adult learners. The next revolution may well be the disruption of the traditional campus model, like Stevens Strategy’s Chronos University concept, allowing residential students to take a good portion, or even all of their courses, online. Ask this question: does your board receive education and updates on the disruptive forces that may have an impact on your institution?

Dysfunction.

So, in the case of demographics, we have little control. If your institution is on the leading edge of disruption (which we might add is risky and expensive), we may have a bit more control. But we definitely have control of the functions or dysfunctions of our management team and board. Collectively, we’ve sat through thousands of hours of board meetings, as Presidents, Trustees and Board Chairs. In days past, the agenda was routine, the reports were familiar and many items on the agenda were already vetted by a board committee before being presented a second time to the full board. Often, the reports by area Vice Presidents reflected the good news items, and often there was not time for a more thoughtful discussion and analysis of the bad news. That board model is no longer effective today, and we think it’s also dysfunctional. Today’s boards need predictive, university-wide metrics and dashboards, received in a timely manner. Financial and quality metrics and targets should be set by Trustees and routinely reviewed. There should be significant time to discuss routinely mission and strategy. More time needs to be spent discussing what will happen as opposed to what has happened. Boards need to accept that they will be risk partners, along with their Presidents and management teams. There will be more risk, difficult decisions and financial commitment; all will be necessary to secure sustainability. Many of the dedicated and well-intentioned trustees with whom we’ve all served have seen the university through the lens of their own undergraduate experience a decade or more ago and manifest a board culture that is equally dated. It’s time to rethink board culture, board structure and board roles and responsibilities.

Today’s trustees must be up to governing in this new and more challenging environment. To succeed, they need to face the 3D’s of Demographics, Disruption and Dysfunction as well as the 3K’s. Trustees must:

Know their institution’s markets,

Know their institution’s industry, and

Know their institution’s culture.

Originally published by StevensStrategy.com in 2020

  1. Grawe, Nathan, Demographics, Demand, and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, National Vital Statistics Reports, Various Years

  2. Grawe, Nathan Demographics, Demand and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, Data from 2017 American Community College Survey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Vital Statistics Reports, 2009 High School Longitudinal Study and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics

  3. Grawe, Nathan Demographics, Demand and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, Data from 2017 American Community College Survey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Vital Statistics Reports, 2009 High School Longitudinal Study and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics