Modest Proposal For An Alternative to the Classic Four-Year Degree

Most non-professional bachelor degrees are typically structured around a strong liberal art component and include a modest collection of courses aimed at developing a basis for skills that might be needed upon entering the job market. For instance, in a 120-hour degree program, nearly 50% of the credits are devoted to general education credits of which the majority are liberal arts courses. Then the balance of the courses is allocated between a common core of credits for the major and specific credits for a particular concentration. A typical example would look like the following:

  • General Education: 58 credits 47% of the total credits
  • Major Core: 42 credits 34% of the total credits
  • Concentration: 24 credits 19% of the total credits

Total Credits: 124 credits

According to College Board data for 2009-10, the average total tuition charge for these 124 credits is $109,172 with a net tuition charge after financial aid of $63,172. While the total amount seems to be modest, the balance is often paid from a family’s discretionary income and/or by taking loans. Since discretionary income has not kept pace with the rise in tuition rates, students are taking on ever larger amounts of debt to finance their degree.

The question that many parents, students, and government agencies are now asking is how colleges can reduce the cost of instruction while providing graduates with skills needed for a career that will repay their investment in higher education. If we focus solely on those students who seek a degree so that they can immediately go to work, the financial goal should be for a student to purchase a degree that incurs the smallest debt load and debt service on future income. This question is particularly acute for first generation students who are going to college on a shoe string budget.

The Alternative Model

Conditions:

  • The alternative must pass muster with employers’ expectation of skill levels.
  • Entanglements imposed by accreditation and state licensure must be avoided.
  • Faculty should not force the program into the mold of a standard bachelor degree.
  • Human capital principles merit that certification skills have more value to employers than a degree.

Model Principles:

  • The model must be designed around the skills required for a specific career.
  • Performance must be assessed in terms of performance objectives.
  • Faculty must have experience in the field rather than pure academic experience.
  • Curriculum should include a mix of courses, simulations, and internships.
  • Support services should include internship and student performance coordinators and counselors.
  • Program courses should be designed around intensive work on developing technical skills that fit the requirements of a particular career set.
  • English courses should focus on writing skills based on the requirements of a particular career set.
  • Math courses should focus on developing strong math skills based on the requirements of a particular career set. (If the career set depends on strong arithmetic and basic algebra skills this should be the focus of the math courses. If the career set does not employ advanced math such as calculus, these skills would not be included in the math courses.)
  • A program should be completed with the equivalent of thirty courses or ninety credits of courses that could be completed upon an accelerated schedule.
  • The program will accept transfer credits and work experience subject to these credits meeting specific course skill objectives of the program.
  • Businesses and nonprofit organizations will sign-off on accepting students for employment who have completed the program.
  • Financing of the model will be a combination of direct costs, direct support costs, subsidy by third parties (no traditional financial aid), and a limited assignment of institutional costs (general administration, registration, etc).
  • Assessment will be continuous at the level of student skills, program objectives, and post graduation (the latter would inform the program of the strengths, weaknesses, and changes in skill requirements).

Curriculum General Model

  • Goal: Provide a three-year program for career path development
  • Objectives:
    • Student mastery of skills as defined by the curriculum and developed by the faculty
    • 100% of graduates are hired within six months with median compensation for the position
    • Employers rate at least 90% of the graduates as above average in skills
  • Curriculum Structure
    • English and Writing Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic grammar skills
      • Paragraph and short paper writing skills
      • Memoranda and report writing
    • Math Skills: 4 courses at 3 credits per course; total 12 credits
      • Basic math skills
      • Tables and charts
      • Descriptive statistics and basic algebraic operations
      • Math skills for career path
    • Computer Skills: 4 courses at 3 credits per course; total 12 credits
      • Word – Microsoft
      • Excel and Access– Microsoft
      • PowerPoint – Microsoft
      • Purchasing office technology
    • Public and Group Facilitations: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Public speaking
      • PowerPoint Presentation
      • Group facilitation
    • Management Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic management and business law
      • Goals, objectives, plans, and evaluation
      • Markets and advertising
    • Financial Skills: 3 courses at 3 credits per course; total 9 credits
      • Basic accounting
      • Understanding and preparing financial reports
      • Budgets and basic financial management
    • General Required Courses: 2 courses at 3 credits per course; total 6 credits
      • Microeconomics – survey
      • Human resources
    • Career Program Skills: 8 courses at 3 credits per course; total 24 credits
      • Career program skills training
      • Simulations
      • Short-term internships
    • Curriculum Summary Table

Course Group

Number of Courses

Credits Per Course

Total Course Credits

English and Writing Skills

Three

Three

9

Math Skills

Four

Three

12

Computer Skills

Four

Three

12

Public and Group Facilitation

Three

Three

9

Management skills

Three

Three

9

Financial Skills

Three

Three

9

General Required Courses

Two

Three

6

Career Program Skills

Eight

Three

24

Total Courses and Credits

Thirty

 

90 credits

  • Major Challenges:
    • State Licensure
    • Regional accreditation
    • Recognition of credit
    • Acceptance of graduates
    • Marketing
    • The type of document to be issued and its acceptance
    • Whether faculty without a masters degree could be used to teach the program
    • Percentage of courses that could be taught by adjuncts
  • Plan for Implementation
  • Advantages and Disadvantages:
    • Advantages –
      • Shorter period to completion
      • Lower costs
    • Disadvantages –
      • The question of whether employers would accept the graduates
      • An uncertainty as to whether students would be willing to take a risk with an unusual program
      • The investment needed to get the program started

Originally Published StevensStrategy.com in 2011

MEMO TO THE BOARD AND MANAGEMENT TEAM: “The Times They Are a Changing”

By Mike Townsley & Bob DeColfmacker,

Last year was the 50th anniversary of the Woodstock Music Festival and an appropriate time to reference Bob Dylan’s 1964 hit “They Times They Are a Changing.” The song was an anthem to the tumultuous 1960’s, and its simple lyrics and message became a rallying cry for millions of youth seeking change in American Society. And it was true then, as it is today, that at times there are significant waves of disruption to our social order, government policies and operating environments. Here we are again.

For those who govern and manage colleges and universities, once again, the times are changing. The operating environment for colleges today is turbulent with many schools facing enrollment challenges, financial difficulties and increased competition. Some question their ability to remain solvent or have already shuttered. At a minimum, these challenges require a sharper focus on governance and management, and in some cases, a complete overhaul of a governance structure. This is not a temporary blip. These are long-term, dynamic, structural changes that require us to manage and govern in different ways. Just think of the past decade; physical newspapers have almost disappeared, many shopping malls are emptying, retailers are experimenting with drones, video gaming is becoming an intercollegiate sport, and we all carry a portable device that can call, take pictures and search the world in a few keystrokes. We can’t run away from the future, but we can shape how we adapt.

And what’s different now? The “3D’s” are now colliding in a “perfect storm” impacting higher education: Demographics, Disruption and Dysfunction. Of the three, we have limited control over two and significant control over one. Taken together, these forces often overwhelm a weak management and governance structure, especially for institutions that are less nimble, lack a well-analyzed strategic plan with appropriate capital or suffer from weak leadership. If this sounds like your institution, it’s time to batten down the hatches, pay close attention to the radar and prepare to change course. What follows is a quick review of what to expect.

Demographics.

The Y-2K recession, the 9/11 recession, and the deep financial crisis of 2008 were heavy blows to endowments. Many colleges faltered, but they slowly recovered. Now, a demographic melting away of prospective student pools threatens to devastate the financial reserves of many private colleges, in particular, small, tuition-dependent colleges. The future does not bode well for many private colleges in this decade as they struggle to maintain financial viability in the face of a decade long collapse in the prospective student pool.

Some of the most recent work completed, published and presented by Dr. Nathan Grawe, Professor of Economics at Carleton College shows a troubling demographic future for many postsecondary institutions. Among some of trends:

  • Both the total fertility rate and total number of births in the United States declined significantly between 1985 and 2019. Specifically, there have been 5.7 million fewer births between 2008 and 2018 than if the birth rate in 2007 had held steady over that period.[1]
  • Between 2017 and 2032, the projected number of college-going students will decline significantly for 2-year institutions and regional 4-year institutions. While national 4-year institutions may fare better in the long run, they also face significant enrollment challenges between 2025 and 2030. While they also will face some ups and downs in demographics, elite 4-year institutions will see an increase in the projected number of college-going students between 2017 and 2032.[2]
  • Geography does matter. The Northeast will see significantly more challenges then other parts of the nation.[3]

Other factors will be at work. Students may choose not to enroll in college due to the high cost of a degree, their level of debt or expected decreases in future earnings for some majors. Enrollment specialists have known for years that schools also compete with the labor market, and in a strong economy like our current one, young people often forsake education for the gratification of immediate earnings.

With tuition being the primary financial driver for so many schools, boards and management teams today need a detailed and predictive geo-demographic analysis of the direction of their current student markets. It’s blasphemy on certain campuses, but a campus master plan today may include downsizing or “rightsizing” physical space, creating an “E-Sports Arena” or even locating in a shopping mall.

Disruption.

Just recently, Moody’s Bond Rating Service wrote a note suggesting that Southern New Hampshire University’s articulation agreement with Pennsylvania’s Community Colleges will be “Credit Negative” to Pennsylvania’s Four-Year Universities. Yes, that’s the same SNHU that spends millions and millions on nationwide marketing and advertising. Think about that. A formerly small, on the cusp university in small city New Hampshire now has the ability to impact the credit standing of an entire group of a state’s colleges. SNHU, boldly and successfully seizing on the disruptive force of technology and a market of adult learners left almost stranded over the years by traditional colleges and universities, has a nationwide, online student population of well over 100,000 students and is now opening a western operations center. This did not happen easily. It required significant capital, dynamic leadership and a board willing to understand and support these high-risk changes. (Disclosure: Bob DeColfmacker served on the SNHU Board of Trustees during this time and knows full well the great effort, capital and risk it took for SNHU to become a nation-wide university). Similar to financial services decades ago, state boundaries are now disappearing for college and universities. Terms like learning management systems, adaptive learning software, predictive analytics, call centers, speed to lead, and hybrid delivery are all part of the new world of college management and governance. Technology is now shaping the way we deliver postsecondary education to an increasingly broader audience.

And this won’t be limited to long-distance, adult learners. The next revolution may well be the disruption of the traditional campus model, like Stevens Strategy’s Chronos University concept, allowing residential students to take a good portion, or even all of their courses, online. Ask this question: does your board receive education and updates on the disruptive forces that may have an impact on your institution?

Dysfunction.

So, in the case of demographics, we have little control. If your institution is on the leading edge of disruption (which we might add is risky and expensive), we may have a bit more control. But we definitely have control of the functions or dysfunctions of our management team and board. Collectively, we’ve sat through thousands of hours of board meetings, as Presidents, Trustees and Board Chairs. In days past, the agenda was routine, the reports were familiar and many items on the agenda were already vetted by a board committee before being presented a second time to the full board. Often, the reports by area Vice Presidents reflected the good news items, and often there was not time for a more thoughtful discussion and analysis of the bad news. That board model is no longer effective today, and we think it’s also dysfunctional. Today’s boards need predictive, university-wide metrics and dashboards, received in a timely manner. Financial and quality metrics and targets should be set by Trustees and routinely reviewed. There should be significant time to discuss routinely mission and strategy. More time needs to be spent discussing what will happen as opposed to what has happened. Boards need to accept that they will be risk partners, along with their Presidents and management teams. There will be more risk, difficult decisions and financial commitment; all will be necessary to secure sustainability. Many of the dedicated and well-intentioned trustees with whom we’ve all served have seen the university through the lens of their own undergraduate experience a decade or more ago and manifest a board culture that is equally dated. It’s time to rethink board culture, board structure and board roles and responsibilities.

Today’s trustees must be up to governing in this new and more challenging environment. To succeed, they need to face the 3D’s of Demographics, Disruption and Dysfunction as well as the 3K’s. Trustees must:

Know their institution’s markets,

Know their institution’s industry, and

Know their institution’s culture.

Originally published by StevensStrategy.com in 2020

  1. Grawe, Nathan, Demographics, Demand, and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, National Vital Statistics Reports, Various Years

  2. Grawe, Nathan Demographics, Demand and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, Data from 2017 American Community College Survey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Vital Statistics Reports, 2009 High School Longitudinal Study and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics

  3. Grawe, Nathan Demographics, Demand and Destiny: Implications for the Health of Independent Institutions, 2020, Data from 2017 American Community College Survey, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Vital Statistics Reports, 2009 High School Longitudinal Study and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics

Managing the Metrics

U.S. Department of Education (DOE), credit rating agencies, banks, regional accrediting commissions, and boards of trustees want assurance of financial viability from colleges and universities. Different organizations have devised and adopted metrics[1] that they believe are indicators of financial viability. For example, DOE uses a test of financial responsibility; Moody’s Investor Services applies a set of financial ratios; regional accrediting agency reports use audited statements and ratios or indexes recommended by the National Association of College and University Business Officials (NACUBO). The impact of financial metrics is to push colleges and universities to develop strategies and operational plans that produce financial results that conform to the measurements built into the metrics. This push seems to have picked up speed over the last decade as state and federal legislatures worry about the cost of a degree. As a result, they are pushing credit agencies, accrediting commissions, and boards to be more attentive to the financial condition of institutions of higher education.

Why do colleges and universities care about metrics established by third parties? The answer is simple these parties – government agencies, banks, accreditors – control access to resources. The consequences to a college that fails to measure up to third-party metrics could include the loss of authority to issue federal financial aid or a lending agency calling for full payment on loan balances. As a result, the college may be forced to substantially alter its way of doing business. Financial metrics coming from third parties are expanding in scope and rigor; and because of their impact on the existence of an institution of higher education, metrics represent powerful incentives for colleges as they design strategies and operational plans.

Basic Definition and Purpose of a Financial Metric

A financial metric incorporates two components – the metric and the benchmark for the metric. A metric can be generally defined as a measurement standard that sets out the performance level for a particular aspect of the finances of an organization. The metric may be a ratio, a rate of growth, or a particular number[2]. For instance, the metric may be the ratio of net income to total revenue, the rate of growth for total revenue compared to total expenses, or maintenance of an exact amount of money in cash reserves. The benchmark establishes the level of performance for the metric. The benchmark may be defined by government regulations, such as the DOE test of responsibility which specifies passing and failing scores. It may also be defined in terms of standard practice, such as the ratio of net income to total revenue should be greater than two percent or equal to greater than the rate of inflation. Another benchmark could be a metric defined in the covenant section of a debt instrument; for example a covenant may require a college to have cash equal to a portion of bond interest and principle that is available at all times.

The purpose of metric is to signify if performance is better than, less than, or equal to the benchmark, and to indicate if action must be taken to achieve the benchmark or restore the financial condition of the college to the level of the benchmark. Financial metrics exist to compel managers, or in this case college presidents and boards of trustees to take action to assure that they have strategies and plans in place to achieve the designated metrics for their institutions.

Positive and Negative Aspects of Metrics

There are positive and negative aspects to managing by metrics. The positive side is that CFOs and presidents know how external agencies will measure financial performance. The primary advantage of metrics is that they impose financial discipline on presidents, boards of trustees, and chief financial officers. Metrics represent a set of financial performance standards that an institution deems to be relevant to achieving or maintaining its financial condition.

While metrics can have negative consequences as will be noted later, they act as powerful guides as institutions make decision about budgets, capital investments, and fiscal management. When the leadership chooses a set of metrics to measure financial performance, they also accept the implied condition that their financial decisions must conform to the performance levels delineated by the financial metrics of their institution.

For the board of trustees, financial performance when compared to the chosen financial metrics can assure them that current financial strategies and plans are appropriate to strengthening the financial condition of the institution; metrics can indicate that the current financial strategy and plans are not working and a new financial strategy is needed. Using metrics is only useful if they are accompanied by a formal reporting system that compares actual performance to the metrics over time. In other words, the leadership of the institution must see the trend for each metric and if changes in the trend are favorable or unfavorable.

Given that metrics are only as effective as a reporting system that is taken seriously, the following also must occur:

  1. The president and chief administrative officers must formally meet, review performance, and determine if and where changes need to be made. By extension, they should prepare a brief formal document laying out the financial state of the college and any strategic or operational changes that are needed to achieve the performance level required by the metrics.
  2. The president must present the metric performance report to the board of trustees so that they can evaluate on their own if the plans are appropriate.

The negative side of metrics is that they can constrain the options available to a college, in particular, financially-weak colleges that are developing a new financial strategy. Metrics can limit a financially-weak college as they move from their current weak financial position to a stronger more viable financial state. During the transition, the metrics may show that the financial viability of the college is continuing to deteriorate before a turnaround strategy takes hold. An example would be a college that has reported deficits for several years because there is no longer a market for its academic programs.
This college needs to reallocate its resources and invest in new programs. As the strategy is implemented, the cost of the investment may be greater than the savings from a reallocation of and a reduction in staff and faculty. During this period, the financial metrics for the college will probably deteriorate, which could depress metrics and present problems with bank covenants, regulatory tests, and accreditors.

The other downside with managing to the metrics is that it could distort the priorities of the college. That is to say that sustaining the metrics may become more important than the mission of the college and the services designed to deliver on the mission.

Sources and Examples of Metrics

There are several sources for metrics and their associated benchmarks. In several cases, the metrics are required either through government regulation, debt covenants[3], or accreditation commissions. Other metrics may be selected by the institution because they represent industry standards that can measure financial performance. Benchmarks are either defined by regulation, set-out in debt documents, specified by accreditors, or generally available through published documents. The following list of metrics are commonly required or selected by colleges and universities.

  1. The U.S. Department of Education (DOE) test of financial responsibility[4] [5] uses three ratios to indicate if the financial condition of the college is weak and needs to take action to substantially improve its financial condition. If test scores are below designated levels, regulatory guidelines can require the institution to post a letter of credit; or if test scores remain below levels over a number of years, DOE may no longer grant the institution the authority to award federal financial aid.
    1. The three ratios are:
      1. Primary Reserve (similar to CFI)
      2. Net Worth (net assets / total assets)
      3. Net Income (unrestricted net income / unrestricted revenue).
    2. The values for these ratios are adjusted by a set of strengths and weights; and the sum of these values yields the test score.
    3. Test scores less than 1.5 may result in regulatory sanctions.
  2. The Composite Financial Index[6] [7] uses four ratios to measure the financial condition of private colleges and universities, as follows:
    1. Ratios:
      1. Primary Reserve Ratio measures operational risk with this relationship: expendable net assets to expenses
      2. Net Income Ratio measures short-term risk with this relationship: net operating income to operating revenue
      3. Return on Net Assets Ratio measures risk to production of wealth with this relationship: change in net assets to total assets
      4. Viability Ratio measures long-term debt risk with this relationship: expendable net assets to long-term debt.
    2. A CFI score less than or equal to three suggests that the financial condition of the college is weak, and it will need to take major steps to improve its financial condition.
  3. Debt Covenants are metrics in a loan agreement or debt indenture. Here are several examples:
    1. The condition that the institution not have deficits
    2. Cash income ratio[8], which relates: net cash from operating activities to total unrestricted income, excluding gains. Median values for this ratio are available in Ratio Analysis in Higher Education[9].
  4. Basic Financial Metrics are a set of metrics that an institution may employ to measure factors that have a direct impact on the financial condition of the institution. These metrics may include:
    1. Net tuition ratio – Measures tuition revenue remaining after deducting unfunded institutional aid. The issue is, if this ratio is changing over time, the ratio is: total tuition and fees revenue minus financial aid to total tuition and fees revenue.
    2. Receivables ratio – Measures proportion of net tuition and fees that are receivables, The issue is, if this ratio is changing over time, higher ratios suggest less cash is being collected; the ratio is: net student receivables to total tuition and fees.
    3. Bad debt ratio – Measures the proportion of receivables that is bad debt. The issue is, if this ratio is increasing over time, it suggests that the institution is unable to fully convert receivables to cash; the ratio is: uncollectable receivables to student receivables.
    4. Deferred maintenance ratio[10] – Measure potential burden of deferred maintenance. The issue is, if this ratio is increasing, the institution is incurring an ever increasing burden on its financial assets to restore its buildings and equipment to the proper state; the ratio is: outstanding maintenance requirements to expendable assets (the denominator is the same as the numerator for the Primary Ratio in the CFI).
    5. Financial assets ratio – Measures the proportion of assets devoted to financial assets. The issue is, if this ratio is declining, then the institution is potentially losing the capacity to support its operations from endowments; the ratio is: net investments and cash to total assets.
    6. Endowment performance – This metric is the annual rate of return for endowment assets. The issue is the same as with the financial assets ratio.
    7. Enrollment growth – This metric is the annual rate of growth for enrollment by level and by program. There are multiple issues: is enrollment growing, shrinking, or remaining by level, and by program? Any significant shifts could have financial effects.
    8. Average class size – This metric measures total average class size and average class size by full- and part-time faculty. This metric is a rough measure of the efficiency of class scheduling and the constraint imposed by room capacity.
    9. Compensation per student – Since compensation makes up more than sixty per cent of the expenses at most colleges and universities, it is important to know if that burden on students is increasing, decreasing or remaining level. Compensation is a sum of the total salaries, benefits, and taxes, which include social security, Medicare, and other special employment taxes that the institution may have to pay. The following ratios measure the relationship of compensation to students for major functions of the institution:
      1. Administrative compensation per student
      2. Faculty compensation per student
      3. Academic affairs compensation per student
      4. Student services compensation per student
      5. Institutional compensation per student.

Summary

Financial metrics should support the analysis of equilibrium and development of plans to achieve a state of equilibrium (see Chapter XIII) and strategies and plans flowing from using the financial paradigm (see Chapter XII) to efficiently use the financial resources of the institution. Financial metrics should be seen as the web which ties together financial strategies and the plans that should strengthen the financial viability of the institution.

Take Away Points

  1. CFOs must do more than manage to net income.
  2. Financial management should cover critical metrics for assets, liabilities, net assets, cash, net income, and debt covenants.
  3. Financial strategies and budgets should be tested against the metrics.
  4. Annual reports should compare performance to metric benchmarks.
  5. The president, CFO, and chief administrators should immediately formulate turnaround plans for those segments of the college that failing to achieve their metric benchmarks.
  6. The college administration should have the authority and the responsibility to manage to the metrics.

Endnotes

  1. Another term for metrics is “key performance indicator” or KPI.

  2. 1988; Cave, Martin, Stephen Hanney, Maurice Kogan and Gillian Trevet; The Use of Performance Indicators in Higher Education; Jessica Kingsley Publishers, London; pp: 17-18

  3. Debt covenants are conditions imposed by a bondholder, bank, or other financial institution to which the college has a debt obligation, which an institution must meet if they are to avoid having the balance of their debt called.

  4. Because the test of financial responsibility involves a complex set of computations, anyone computing a test score should go to the DOE site for computational guidelines. This site http://www2.ed.gov/finaid/prof/resources/finresp/finalreport/execsummary.html also provides institutions with their test score.

  5. 2004; Financial Aid Professionals: Methodology for Regulatory Test of Financial Responsibility Using Financial Ratios; (September 29, 2004); (Retrieved November 1, 2010) http://www2.ed.gov/finaid/prof/resources/finresp/finalreport/execsummary.html

  6. The Composite Financial Index (CFI) adjusts computed ratio values for strength and then weights the preceding computation according to the importance of the particular ratio. The sum of the prior computations is the index score. The scores can then be compared to a set of ranges that suggest the financial condition of the institution. For more information about CFI see the latest edition of Salluzzo, R.E., Tahey, P., Prager, F.J., & Cowen, C.J. (2005); Ratio analysis in higher Education, 6th edition published by KPMG, LLP & Prager, McCarthy & Sealy, LLC.

  7. 2005; Salluzzo, R.E., Tahey, P., Prager, F.J., & Cowen, C.J.; Ratio analysis in higher Education, 6th edition published by KPMG, LLP & Prager, McCarthy & Sealy, LLC; pp 94-99

  8. 2005; Salluzzo, R.E., Tahey, P., Prager, F.J., & Cowen, C.J.; Ratio analysis in higher Education, 6th edition published by KPMG, LLP & Prager, McCarthy & Sealy, LLC; p 109

  9. 2005; Salluzzo, R.E., Tahey, P., Prager, F.J., & Cowen, C.J.; Ratio analysis in higher Education, 6th edition published by KPMG, LLP & Prager, McCarthy & Sealy, LLC; p 109; p 124

  10. 2005; Salluzzo, R.E., Tahey, P., Prager, F.J., & Cowen, C.J.; Ratio analysis in higher Education, 6th edition published by KPMG, LLP & Prager, McCarthy & Sealy, LLC; p 109; p 81

Tectonic Shift Coming in Course Pricing

Tectonic Shift Coming in Course Pricing

On May 4th, Richard DeMillo’s[1] article, “So You’ve Got Technology; So What?” in the Digital Campus published by Chronicle of Higher Education boldly claimed that new technology is ready to blast apart the traditional pricing model of higher education. In the same publication, another article, “One Instructor, 2,670 Students” reports how John Boyer, an instructor at Virginia Tech, is using current technology to offer super-sized classes. He is even looking at new technology that would enroll 600 to 3,000 students in face-to-face instruction. On May 3rd, the Chronicle also reported that Harvard and MIT are investing $60 million in a new platform for free online courses. These reports suggest that the pace of new technology is accelerating and will have profound effects on pricing courses and even upon the traditional structure of higher education – one that has successfully resisted change for centuries.

Richard De Millo believes that course pricing is entering an era where courses will be treated as inexpensive commodities similar to what has happened with cell phone services, toll road electronic passes, e-books, and the replacement of secretaries and clerks with electronic software. If courses become electronic, commodities that are offered free or inexpensively would necessarily drive down course prices well below current levels. The typical course pricing model that is based on an average class size of twenty to thirty students would no longer be viable. Since most colleges use course sets organized around academic majors as their fundamental revenue unit, course commodification could strike at the very heart of a college’s financial stability.

What does this mean for traditional colleges? De Millo claims that piecemeal responses by colleges to the challenges of new technology waste resources. He suggests that the best solution is to break the traditional college paradigm and build a new paradigm. His assertion that technology will soon change course pricing also implies that the administrative and support structures must be altered if colleges expect to compete under these new market conditions.

The question for small traditional colleges is how can they respond to the rapidly emerging electronic model of higher education? There is a way for traditional colleges to test the waters without completing abandoning their existing model. This would involve redesigning their continuing education to take advantage of the new on-line pricing models and administrative systems. The work is complex and arduous. Most private colleges will find that redesigning their continuing education systems will place huge demands on their limited time and energy resources.

There are myriad options available to colleges such as: course bundling from other colleges coupled with on-line courses to produce a certified degree, certifications using a set of on-line courses with the certificates building toward a degree, customized degrees or certificates with sets of courses that meet the needs of a particular student or set of students, or degree partnerships with several colleges with similar missions in different locations throughout the country. Low priced eLearning courses gives entrepreneurial presidents’ tremendous flexibility and leverage to strengthen the competitive position of their institution.

Stevens Strategy is here to help you adapt to the challenges and opportunities presented by technology. We have the capability to assemble a team that can work with you on developing:

  • Instructional and administrative models using the latest technology
  • Policies and procedures to support the new instructional and administrative models
  • Documents for soliciting RFPs for building the new instructional delivery and administrative systems
  • Implementation checklists
  • Operational performance tests
  • On-going performance assessment
  1. Director of the Center for 21st Century University at the Georgia Institute of Technology

Is Your Institution Structurally Inefficient?

Executive Summary

Efficiency in higher education is an amusing topic that is best left to economists. The reality is that all constituents of a college or university know that the institution in inherently inefficient due to poorly designed operational policies, procedures, decision rubrics, resource allocations, and production of its main product – the education of students. Boards, administrators, and even regulators have either ignored operational inefficiencies or found them too intractable to change. Nevertheless, colleges and universities do graduate students and produce credible research, despite their awkward approach to delivering on their mission. However, the days of traipsing down the ivy-bedecked walls of alma mater are swiftly coming to an end. Efficiency will necessarily rise to a level of action due to complex combination of conditions like the Covid pandemic, inflation, shrinking new student markets, and students rejecting colleges charging high tuition prices to earn a degree with a low return on income. This blog will deal with the concept and framing of efficiency, managing efficiency in colleges and universities, bottlenecked operating chains, efficiency notes for presidents, and a brief comment on the relationship between financial equilibrium and efficiency.

Introduction to Efficiency

Nearly every college and university in the United States has the same operational structure and decision-governance process regardless of size, mission, or method of instructional delivery. The structure of higher education in this country has deep historical roots going back to Oxford and Cambridge in England with the design carried into this country with the founding of the early colleges such as Harvard. However, In America, the people of the state authorized the creation and to operation of colleges and universities through charters that provided ultimate responsibility and authority to a disinterested board. There has always been an assumption in the American system that the faculty’s domain is the curriculum and certification of successful completion of study. In the nineteenth century, presidents were much stronger than today. At that time, they were members of the faculty, with a primus inter-pares role. That system began to change during the twentieth century as presidents were less likely to be of and from the faculty and a dual organization system developed with a professional class led by the president and a faculty class with a counterbalancing role described most cogently by the AAUP. This dual organization structure has a significant flaw; it is resistant to change. Therefore, by extension, it is very expensive to operate because programs become embedded in the decision-governance process that often acted as a veto on change. This flaw became most evident when the nature of colleges changed from a rite of passage for only about 20% of the population (typically the traditional socially privileged and academically prepared student) to a pathway for social mobility and professional success for an additional 40% of less academically prepared and socially privileged post World War II students. This was accentuated especially as government sponsored financial aid programs expanded significantly, creating an environment of competition between colleges for an abundant market of students and the tuition they provide to support operations. The dual organization model worked reasonably well until that market began to decline and colleges had to act more strategically to adapt and compete. This created pressure to move from a dual organization governance system to a shared governance system that recognized more clearly the board’s role and authority. But that transition is not complete and many colleges are still ill equipped for change.

Due to the accelerating decline in enrollments that is combined with pressure to lower prices by way of tuition discounts and students insisting on degrees that lead to jobs in which their pay covers their debt payments and the cost of living, most private colleges and some private universities must now confront the impact of these conditions on the cost of operations. Solutions to these confounding problems of declining revenue (plus shrinking cash flows from tuition) and the cost of operations is the principal subject of this discourse.

Framing Efficiency

Efficiency or Productive Efficiency is the minimum cost for a particular level of output produced by a firm. Determining the relationship between cost input and output requires precise data. In higher education, precise data detailing costs and output is problematical on several levels. First, colleges do not clearly define the costs that drive a particular output. Moreover, they are often not clear about what the outputs are. Outputs can be classified as: credits, graduates, students enrolled in a program, full-time-equivalents, specific degrees, or credentials. As is evident from this imprecise list, several of the outputs may in fact be inputs; e.g., credits, students enrolled in a program, or full-time-equivalents. The confusion between inputs and outputs in higher education makes the problem of estimating productive efficiency very costly, difficult, and time-consuming. Nevertheless, given the declining demand for education and aggressive competition for new students, colleges and universities cannot ignore the problem of minimizing costs. While this discussion does not offer a mathematical solution to estimating minimal costs, we will suggest what can be done to improve the management of costs.

Managing Efficiency in Colleges and Universities

  • Governance: Most colleges and universities operate within a dual governance structure in which the faculty has advisory authority over the academic program, the administration has authority over the rest of the college, and the Board of Trustees has authority over both. Conflict usually occurs at the edge between administrative authority and academic authority. There are two problems with dual governance that lead to cost inefficiencies. First, ultimate responsibility for survival of the institution is often not defined. Second, policies are often written in an ambiguous fashion regarding assignment of responsibility and expected outcomes. The literature suggests that ambiguous policies result from attempts to minimize conflicts of the dual governance divide. Eliminating existing and future policy ambiguities requires that the Board of Trustees fully understand which level is granted ultimate responsibility by law for the survival and integrity of the institution. If the Board does not understand this responsibility, they need training in their legal responsibilities, and they need legal counsel to review all policies and recommend changes to eliminate diminution of Board authority.
  • Charter and Mission: The charter is the heart of the corporate entity and defines what it is allowed to do. The mission delineates what an institution can or cannot do. If the institution goes beyond its mission, it departs from its authority as granted by its charter. Therefore, significant changes in the activities of the college must be brought into conformity to its mission and charter or else both need to be amended.
  • Academic Efficiency: This concept boils down to who controls the productive structure of the college; i.e., who has the authority to reorient academic operations in order to better serve students versus serving the status quo. Academic efficiency depends on 1) a leader skilled in revising the academic program in the face of intractable opposition and 2) an able lawyer in higher education labor law who briefs legal constraints for academic and personnel changes.
  • Operational Efficiency: This concept depends on the proficiency of the president to a) identify if the college is responding to the demands of the student and job markets, b) restructure academic programs to attract students and prepare them for the job market, and c) allocate personnel and assets to best serve students at the lowest cost per student ratio. In addition, the president, in consort with the faculty, must have academic technical skills to revise or design the following: new curriculum; class schedules; information technology to deliver and administer academic operations; and the legal constraints on changes in programs. Moreover, the president must see how to efficiently utilize the physical space.
  • Financial Efficiency is subject to these standards:
    • Cash is essential for survival.
    • Short-term assets need to be readily convertible to cash.
    • For most private colleges, cash flows from enrollment and gift/donations.
    • Operations must generate strong and positive cash flows.
    • Monitor factors that deplete cash: rising tuition discounts; excess number of administrators and staff (too many administrators and staff doing the job that one person could); small enrollments in majors; small classes; capital and operational costs of buildings with low usage rates; and ineffective marketing strategies.
    • Use dashboards and critical period performance reports to identify financial imbalances that cover: enrollment, class size, tuition discount, net tuition revenue, donations, cash balances, staff compensation, variable expenses, and unbudgeted expenditures
    • Set-up and track these efficiency ratios:
      • Net-tuition per student
      • Receivable and bad debt ratios
      • Net Donation/Advancement Officer
      • Assets Efficiency Ratio – measure square feet being used against the space available in a twenty-four-hour time span.
  • Market Efficiency: requires a) data by: student markets, yield rates, campaign target effectiveness, and enrollment by programs; b) best practices in reaching and drawing students from market segments; and c) continuous monitoring of marketing performance.

Bottlenecked Operating Chains

A bottleneck chain is a set of offices that are connected in carrying out a common set of processes. If these chains are not carefully designed, the result can be a process stream that becomes bottlenecked. A process stream is often bottlenecked at the interchange between offices. These bottlenecks can occur when process streams are not designed to carry from one office to another or when administrators do not work together in harmony.

Only the president has the authority and the responsibility to sort out the process stream and to eliminate inter-office conflict. In order to resolve bottlenecks, a president will have to get down into the nitty-gritty of policies and processes. That is, the president will be involved in analysis of a chain and will lead the redesign of chain policies and processes. Listed below are several critical chains typically found in an institution of higher education.

  • Admissions Chain: Admissions – Registrar – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) Financial Office – Bookstore – IT
  • Continuing Student Chain: Registrar – IT – Academic Office (class schedule) – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) – Bookstore – Student Affairs (residence/dining plans)
  • Class Scheduling Chain: Academic Office –- IT – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services) – Registrar – Bookstore – Security
  • Billing Office: Registrar – IT– Billing Office – Academic – Student Affairs (financial problems) –
  • Payables Office: Academic Affairs– President’s Office – Chief Administrative Offices – Student Affairs – Faculty – Vendors
  • Grades and Transcript Chain: Registrar – Faculty – Academic Office -Registrar – IT – Student Affairs (athletics, residence, food services)
  • Student Affairs: Academic Scheduling Office, Athletic Office, Residence Halls – Food Services – Student Organizations
  • Graduation Chain: Registrar – Academic Affairs – Student Affairs – Security
  • Budgeting Bottleneck Chain: Finance Office – Budget Office – President’s Office – Academic Offices – Building and Grounds – Security – Board

Efficiency Notes for the President

The efficiency notes provide common leadership standards for a president as they guide their institutions toward greater efficiency. These are also final notes for other chief administrative officers.

  • Communications supporting major decisions must be precise and comprehensive, especially when they involve a delegation of authority.
  • Presidents must work effectively with the board and all constituencies of the college.
  • Before the president and board initiate change, they should prepare for conflict, in particular with the faculty when it involves changes in academic programs, faculty policies, and assignments.
  • Presidents need to understand the dynamics of the college and its basic operational processes. For example:
    • Basic management doctrine – mission, responsibility, and outcome defined action.
    • Financial resource allocations to departments, capital expenses, and personnel.
    • Operational procedures, staff training and the expectation that administrators, staff and faculty will use administrative and academic software.
    • Effective/efficient allocation of personnel are essential to survival.
    • Paying market rates for skilled positions in academics, finance, and human resources.
    • Recognizing that today’s shrunken student pools require the best marketing enrollment managers.
    • How pricing (including tuition discounts) shape prospective student decisions in consort with their expectations of the outcome from their degrees.
    • Need access to the best higher education legal services because change is usually constrained by laws (especially labor) and regulations (state and federal).
  • Small college presidents may have to act like the head of a small business by doing the work of: writing policy and procedural manuals, curriculum design, academic scheduling, contracts, financial reports, and faculty and staff evaluation. The president needs to know the budgets of each department, financial reports and the dynamics of cash flows.
  • Senior staff must understand the dynamics and processes of their area of responsibilities and this area to other domains and to the college as a whole.

Summary

Efficiency in higher education may be construed as being subject to Cyert’s model of financial equilibrium.[1] His model posits that financial equilibrium occurs when there are sufficient resources to sustain an institution’s mission for current and future students.[2] It could be said that a college’s financial equilibrium would be dependent on its efficiency in using its financial resources to sustain its mission. Inefficient use of resources would either deplete financial reserves or fail to convert incoming financial resources into productive units to accomplish the mission of the intuition. As a result, students would be ill-served by an inefficient college.

The culture of the college that has presently emerged is what has shaped the current state of efficiency in most institutions. It will be the responsibility of the board, administration, faculty and accreditors to increase the efficiency of the college by working together to reform policies, processes, and decision-making. Changes in the operational structure of the college will mainly take place through its governance system, which is morphing from the traditional dual governance model into a shared-governance model. Sound board and presidential leadership can make certain positive steps to good management and to greater operational efficiency.

ENDNOTE

  1. Townsley, Michael (2014) Financial Strategy for Higher Education: A Field Guide for Presidents, CFOs, and Boards of Trustees; Lulu Press; Indianapolis, Indiana; p. 15.

  2. Townsley, Michael (2014) Financial Strategy for Higher Education: A Field Guide for Presidents, CFOs, and Boards of Trustees; Lulu Press; Indianapolis, Indiana; p. 15.